[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 17 10:07:50 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 171507
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT AUG 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

43.0N  50.5W      23  7  X  X 30   CAPE RACE NFLD     1  3  X  X  4
50.5N  44.0W       X 12  5  X 17   HIBERNIA OILFLD    1 17  X  X 18
59.5N  36.0W       X  X  8  X  8

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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