[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 160838
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE AUG 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI AUG 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.8N  60.1W      26  3  1  X 30   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
39.8N  56.7W       3 17  9  X 29   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  1  3  4
44.6N  50.1W       X  X 13  6 19   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  2  5  7
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  3  1  4   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  5  8 13
SYDNEY NS          X  X  1  1  2   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  4 12 16

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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