[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 152028
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON AUG 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU AUG 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.4N  61.5W      29  2  X  X 31   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  3  3  7
40.0N  58.5W       2 18  4  1 25   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  4  6
43.0N  54.0W       X  1 13  3 17   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  3  6  9
HALIFAX NS         X  1  1  1  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  6  6 12
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  5  9  X 14   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  5  9 14
SYDNEY NS          X  X  4  3  7   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1 11 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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