[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 150231
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED AUG 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.6N  65.1W      31  X  X  X 31   YARMOUTH NS        X  1  3  2  6
38.8N  62.2W       4 14  2  X 20   HALIFAX NS         X  1  4  3  8
40.0N  59.0W       X  5  8  3 16   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  1  6  5 12
BERMUDA            X  2  1  X  3   SYDNEY NS          X  X  2  6  8
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  1  X  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  3  5  8
HYANNIS MA         X  1  X  1  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  1  5  6
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  1  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  7  7
EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  2  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  1  8  9
ST JOHN NB         X  X  2  1  3   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  8  8
MONCTON NB         X  X  1  3  4   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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