[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 120834
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI AUG 12 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON AUG 15 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.4N  68.0W      74  X  X  X 74   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5
30.1N  69.1W      42  1  X  X 43   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  6  6
31.0N  70.1W      14 11  1  X 26   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  1  2  5  8   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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