[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 120231
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU AUG 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.3N  67.9W      67  X  X  X 67   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
29.0N  69.2W      35  5  X  X 40   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3
29.8N  70.5W       2 20  1  1 24   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4
BERMUDA            X  X  1  5  6   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  5  5
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  4  4
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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