[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 090835
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE AUG 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI AUG 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.0N  57.4W      50  1  X  X 51   25.2N  61.4W       X 12 16  X 28
23.9N  59.4W       8 27  X  X 35   BERMUDA            X  X  X  7  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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