[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 080835
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON AUG 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU AUG 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

40.9N  46.5W      19  1  1  X 21   42.1N  42.0W       2  7  2  3 14
41.5N  44.3W      10  3  1  2 16   HIBERNIA OILFLD    1  2  1  2  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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