[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 4 15:33:00 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 042032
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN AUG  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.2N  58.5W      29  X  1  X 30   34.5N  56.0W       4 10  3  2 19
34.0N  57.0W      12  7  1  2 22   BERMUDA            X  1  2  3  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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