[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 260836
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP 29 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.7N  83.6W      50  X  X  X 50   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X 11 11
31.8N  83.9W      18 13  1  X 32   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  9  9
34.0N  82.5W       X 14  8  X 22   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  7  7
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  6  6
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL  51  X  X  X 51   FT MYERS FL       22  X  X  X 22
JACKSONVILLE FL   33  X  X  X 33   VENICE FL         52  X  X  X 52
SAVANNAH GA        7 12  1  1 21   TAMPA FL          74  X  X  X 74
CHARLESTON SC      X  9  7  1 17   CEDAR KEY FL      63  X  X  X 63
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  2 10  5 17   ST MARKS FL       41  X  X  X 41
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  8  9 17   APALACHICOLA FL   30  1  X  1 32
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  4 12 16   PANAMA CITY FL    17  6  1  X 24
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  2 14 16   PENSACOLA FL       1  8  1  X 10
NORFOLK VA         X  X  1 18 19   MOBILE AL          X  3  1  X  4
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X 19 19   GULF 29N 85W      29  X  1  X 30
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X 18 18   GULF 29N 87W       2  4  X  X  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X 15 15

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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