[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 25 22:41:58 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KJAX 260341
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-260630-

HURRICANE JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1130 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...HURRICANE JEANNE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BRADFORD...CLAY...
PUTNAM...ALACHUA...MARION...UNION...BAKER...GILCHRIST...COLUMBIA...
SUWANNEE AND HAMILTON. IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN...GLYNN...
WAYNE...BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...APPLING...PIERCE...WARE...JEFF DAVIS...
BACON...COFFEE...ATKINSON...CLINCH AND ECHOLS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ST AUGUSTINE
SOUTHWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST.
AUGUSTINE TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FOR ST. JOHNS...
FLAGLER...PUTNAM AND MARION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...THE INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CHANGED TO AN INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING AS OF 1130 PM EDT...FOR PUTNAM AND MARION
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...
SUWANNEE...HAMILTON AND UNION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE...
BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...APPLING...PIERCE...WARE...JEFF DAVIS...BACON...
COFFEE...ATKINSON...CLINCH AND ECHOLS COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE
FLORIDA TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND IN GEORGIA...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES MILES
EAST OF STUART FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS MOVING SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING INLAND NEAR MIDNIGHT...AND
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
JEANNE IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.  JEANNE WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND.

REMEMBER...A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN SOME PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. ALL EXPECTED IMPACTS
ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE ULTIMATE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF JEANNE
AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO AFFECT THE
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS...AND WILL
INCREASE IN FREQUENCY AND STRENGTH THROUGH SUNDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD PUT YOUR FAMILYS HURRICANE
PLAN INTO EFFECT AND HEED THE ADVICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS. EVERYONE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FAMILYS
HURRICANE PLAN AND HURRICANE KIT. MARINE INTERESTS IN NORMALLY FLOOD
PRONE AREAS MAY WISH TO SECURE PROPERTY WHICH COULD FLOOD. RESIDENTS
ALONG AREA RIVERS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING.

GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE USED IN WELL VENTILATED AREAS...DO
NOT RUN GENERATORS IN GARAGES OR SHEDS. NEVER USE CANDLES OR ANY OPEN
FLAME FOR LIGHTING DUE TO THE RISK OF FIRE.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE THE HEIGHT OF NORMAL TIDES WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH VALUES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL POSSIBLE ON
SUNDAY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS...
TIDE LEVELS ON THE ST. JOHNS RIVER ARE ALREADY ABOVE NORMAL. COMBINED
WITH ALREADY HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL...
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ST. JOHNS RIVER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF
ST AUGUSTINE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 50 TO 60 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE FROM ST. AUGUSTINE SOUTHWARD EARLY
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF
DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES ON SUNDAY. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF CAMDEN AND GLYNN
COUNTIES.

INLAND AREAS OF NORTH FLORIDA...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OVERNIGHT AND WILL INCREASE OVER THE INLAND
AREAS ON SUNDAY. ACROSS MARION...PUTNAM...AND INLAND PORTIONS OF
FLAGLER AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 40 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH DURING THE MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO
THE AFTERNOON.  WINDS ACROSS ALACHUA...BRADFORD...GILCHRIST AND UNION
COUNTIES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 40 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WINDS OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES AS WELL AS
BAKER...COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE AND HAMILTON COUNTIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ON SUNDAY.

INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 25 TO
35 MPH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...AND MAY INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE IN SOME AREAS ALONG THE FLORIDA-GEORGIA STATELINE.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.  HEAVY SURF AND BEACH EROSION WILL
CONTINUE TO WORSEN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BECOME THE HIGHEST IMPACT FROM JEANNE ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK...HURRICANE JEANNE WILL POSE A THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST NEAR THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT. AREAS ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF THE
CENTER COULD SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES. SUCH RAINS WOULD
POSE A RENEWED OR CONTINUED THREAT OF FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS.

IF JEANNE MOVES OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO IT MAY BEGIN TO TAP
MOISTURE FROM THE NORTHEASTERN GULF AND APALACHEE BAY. THIS COULD
CAUSE LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FOR ST. JOHNS...
FLAGLER...PUTNAM AND MARION COUNTIES. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY AS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH JEANNE BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND SPREAD NORTHWARD. MOST OF THE
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THE STORM'S
CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT.
REMEMBER THAT TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL
CYCLONES...CAN AND OFTEN DO DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SANDRIK

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