[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 25 21:39:47 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KMFL 260239
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-260500-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...EYE WALL NOW IMPACTING EXTREME NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE...GLADES...
HENDRY...COLLIER...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GLADES, HENDRY, AND PALM BEACH
COUNTIES INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE METRO AREAS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
GLADES...HENDRY...WESTERN PALM BEACH...AND WESTERN BROWARD COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL COLLIER AND
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
COLLIER AND WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA UNTIL 8 PM
SUNDAY NIGHT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 40 MILES
NORTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH. JEANNE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN WEST AND WEST
NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MILES AN HOUR WITH
HIGHER GUSTS....MAKING JEANNE A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 MAJOR HURRICANE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN IN PROTECTED BUILDINGS UNTIL HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
HURRICANE JEANNE IS LANDFALLING JUST NORTH OF PALM BEACH COUNTY TONIGHT. HIGH
TIDE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA WAS AROUND 6 PM WHICH MEANS THE
WATER LEVEL REACHED HIGH TIDE AND THEN CONTINUED TO RISE TO A MAXIMUM THROUGH
9 OR 10 PM BEFORE FINALLY BEGINNING TO RECEDE SLOWLY. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A
MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF AROUND 3.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IN THE EXTREME
NORTHEAST PART OF PALM BEACH COUNTY INCLUDING JUPITER INLET AS THE HURRICANE
LANDFALLS. MINOR FLOODING OF BEACH ROADS AND WATERFRONT NEIGHBORHOODS AROUND
JUPITER INLET COLONY...TEQUESTA...AND JUNO BEACH MIGHT OCCUR.

FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVEL WAS NEAR 16 FEET AT 2 PM ON SATURDAY.
AS WINDS INCREASE AND SHIFT FROM NORTHWEST TO WEST TO SOUTHWEST...WATER
LEVELS INSIDE THE DIKE WERE EXPECTED TO RISE AROUND 3 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
SHORE AROUND 10 PM, AROUND 3.5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE AROUND MIDNIGHT, AND
AROUND 4 FEET ALONG THE NORTH SHORE AROUND 3 AM SUNDAY MORNING. ALL AREAS
OUTSIDE PROTECTION OF THE HOOVER DIKE...INCLUDING RITTA...TORRY...AND KREAMER
ISLANDS AS WELL AS MARINAS AND DOCKS IN THE BELLE GLADE AND PAHOKEE AREAS...CAN
BE EXPECTED TO FLOOD. THE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTS INHABITED AREAS TO MORE THAN 30
FEET.

FOR THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST...ONSHORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL CAUSE STORM TIDES UP TO 2 FEET FROM CAPE SABLE TO MARCO ISLAND
AROUND 3 AM AND ABOUT ONE FOOT NORTH OF MARCO ISLAND TO BONITA BEACH
AROUND 4 AM ON SUNDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
ROADS BETWEEN MARCO ISLAND AND CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 10 PM...WIND REPORTS ACROSS PALM BEACH INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55
TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 74 MPH...PARTICULARLY AT WEST PALM BEACH. HAM
RADIO OPERATOR REPORTS FROM THE JUPITER AREA INDICATED ESTIMATED WIND
GUSTS CLOSE TO 100 MPH CLOSER TO THE EYE WALL. ACROSS BROWARD COUNTY...WIND
REPORTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY INDICATED SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55
TO 60 MPH. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF BROWARD COUNTY...WINDS REPORTS INDICATED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. WINDS IN MIAMI DADE
COUNTY WERE MAINLY 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. AT 10 MPH...FOWEY ROCKS...JUST SOUTH OF KEY
BISCAYNE...WAS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 TO 60 MPH.
IN THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION...WINDS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 65 TO 70 MPH. WINDS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA GUSTING CLOSE TO 35 MPH.

MIAMI DOPPLER RADAR ALSO SHOWS SQUALLS OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS
WITH PEAK WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOVE 7O MPH MAINLY OFFSHORE BROWARD AND
PALM BEACH COUNTIES. OVER LAND...RADAR ESTIMATES SQUALLS WITH WIND GUSTS ALSO
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY. RADAR
ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH OCCURRING ACROSS MUCH OF BROWARD COUNTY
AND PORTIONS OF MIAMI DADE...MAINLY CLOSER TO THE COAST.

SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 73 MPH...WILL LIKELY LAST OVER
PORTIONS OF METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
100 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY. WINDS
OVER METRO PALM BEACH WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE SUNDAY MORNING AND ARE FORECAST TO
BE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON SUNDAY.

ACROSS BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES...CURRENT WIND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST OR WORSEN A BIT MORE BEFORE GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO IMPROVE BEFORE
SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.

OVER INLAND AREAS OF PALM BEACH...BROWARD...GLADES...AND HENDRY COUNTIES ...
WINDS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE...39 MILES PER HOUR...
BEGINNING LATER THIS EVENING AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. FREQUENT GUSTS
TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL OCCUR OVER INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY AROUND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE AND WESTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF JEANNE MOVES FARTHER SOUTH. THE WINDS
WILL DECREASE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST REGION...INCLUDING BIG CYPRESS SWAMP...EVERGLADES
NATIONAL PARK AND THE NAPLES...MARCO ISLAND AREA...FREQUENT WINDS GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 39 MPH...TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...ARE POSSIBLE FROM NOW THROUGH NOON
SUNDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
AT 10 PM...SETTLEMENT POINT IN THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF THE BAHAMAS...REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56 KNOTS WITH A PEAK WIND GUST OF 87 KNOTS REPORTED AROUND 9
PM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING THE PALM BEACH AND NORTHERN BROWARD
COUNTY COASTAL WATERS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHERN BROWARD
TO THE MIAMI-DADE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE...SUSTAINED
WINDS WERE REPORTED TO BE IN THE 40 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60
KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF FREQUENT GUSTS...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FROM LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES HAD FALLEN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS EARLIER ON SATURDAY. SIMILAR AMOUNTS OF
RAIN WILL LIKELY SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES ON SUNDAY. WEST PALM BEACH HAS REPORTED 2.71 INCHES
SO FAR ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL MEAN MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A FEW SPOTS NEARING ONE FOOT OF RAIN. THE AREA WITH THE
GREATEST THREAT OF SEEING THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE PALM BEACH COUNTY
AND AREAS AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. IF FEEDER BANDS SETS UP ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY.

THIS RAIN WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE FRESHWATER FLOODING AND A FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE RAINBANDS OF
JEANNE THIS EVENING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED HURRICANE JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL
BE ISSUED AROUND 10 PM TODAY.

$$

PS

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