[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 25 19:48:45 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KMFL 260048
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-260500-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
830 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF PALM BEACH
COUNTY AND APPROACHING COASTAL AREAS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE...GLADES...
HENDRY...COLLIER...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GLADES, HENDRY, AND PALM BEACH
COUNTIES INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE METRO AREAS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
GLADES...HENDRY...WESTERN PALM BEACH...AND WESTERN BROWARD COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL COLLIER AND
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
COLLIER AND WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA UNTIL 8 PM
SUNDAY NIGHT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS
ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH. JEANNE HAS BEEN
MOVING BETWEEN WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MILES AN HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS....MAKING
JEANNE A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 MAJOR HURRICANE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN IN PROTECTED BUILDINGS UNTIL HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE JEANNE WOULD RESULT IN
LANDFALL JUST NORTH OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
HIGH TIDE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA WAS AROUND 6
PM WHICH MEANS THE WATER LEVEL WILL REACH HIGH TIDE AND THEN
CONTINUE TO RISE TO A MAXIMUM THROUGH 9 OR 10 PM BEFORE FINALLY
BEGINNING TO RECEDE SLOWLY. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A MAXIMUM STORM
TIDE OF AROUND 3.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IN THE EXTREME NORTHEAST
PART OF PALM BEACH COUNTY INCLUDING JUPITER INLET. MINOR FLOODING OF
BEACH ROADS AND WATERFRONT NEIGHBORHOODS AROUND JUPITER INLET
COLONY...TEQUESTA...AND JUNO BEACH MIGHT OCCUR. FOR BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES...STORM TIDES OF 1 OR 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.

FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVEL WAS NEAR 16 FEET AT 2 PM ON SATURDAY.
AS WINDS INCREASE AND SHIFT FROM NORTHWEST TO WEST TO SOUTHWEST...WATER
LEVELS INSIDE THE DIKE WILL RISE AROUND 3 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
SHORE AROUND 10 PM, AROUND 3.5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE AROUND
MIDNIGHT, AND AROUND 4 FEET ALONG THE NORTH SHORE AROUND 3 AM. ALL AREAS
OUTSIDE PROTECTION OF THE HOOVER DIKE...INCLUDING RITTA...TORRY...AND
KREAMER ISLANDS AS WELL AS MARINAS AND DOCKS IN THE BELLE GLADE AND
PAHOKEE AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED TO FLOOD. THE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTS
INHABITED AREAS TO MORE THAN 30 FEET.

FOR THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST...ONSHORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL CAUSE STORM TIDES UP TO 2 FEET FROM CAPE SABLE TO MARCO ISLAND
AROUND 3 AM AND ABOUT ONE FOOT NORTH OF MARCO ISLAND TO BONITA BEACH
AROUND 4 AM ON SUNDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
ROADS BETWEEN MARCO ISLAND AND CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 8 PM...WIND REPORTS ACROSS PALM BEACH INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40
TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH...PARTICULARLY AT WEST PALM BEACH. ACROSS
BROWARD COUNTY...WIND REPORTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY
INDICATED NEARLY SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AROUND 39 MPH OR
GREATER...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 TO 60 MPH. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF BROWARD
COUNTY...WINDS REPORTS INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
45 TO 50 MPH PARTICULARLY IN FORT LAUDERDALE. WINDS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WERE
MAINLY 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS PARTICULARLY
IN THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. IN THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION...
WINDS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO ABOVE 50 MPH. WINDS
WERE MOSTLY IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

MIAMI DOPPLER RADAR ALSO SHOWS SQUALLS OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS
WITH PEAK WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOVE 7O MPH MAINLY OFFSHORE BROWARD AND
PALM BEACH COUNTIES. OVER LAND...RADAR ESTIMATES SQUALLS WITH WIND GUSTS ALSO
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLY AFFECTING MOST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY. RADAR
ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH OCCURRING ACROSS MUCH OF BROWARD COUNTY
AND PORTIONS OF MIAMI DADE...MAINLY CLOSER TO THE COAST.

SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 73 MPH...WILL LIKELY BEGIN OVER
PORTIONS OF METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY THIS EVENING AND LAST UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT
WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
PALM BEACH COUNTY. WINDS OVER METRO PALM BEACH WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE SUNDAY
MORNING AND ARE FORECAST TO BE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON SUNDAY.

ACROSS BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES...CURRENT WIND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST OR WORSEN A BIT MORE BEFORE GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO IMPROVE BEFORE
SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.

OVER INLAND AREAS OF PALM BEACH...BROWARD...GLADES...AND HENDRY COUNTIES ...
WINDS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE...39 MILES PER HOUR...
BEGINNING LATER THIS EVENING AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. FREQUENT GUSTS
TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL OCCUR OVER INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY AROUND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE AND WESTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF JEANNE MOVES FARTHER SOUTH. THE WINDS
WILL DECREASE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST REGION...INCLUDING BIG CYPRESS SWAMP...EVERGLADES
NATIONAL PARK AND THE NAPLES...MARCO ISLAND AREA...FREQUENT WINDS GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 39 MPH...TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATER THIS
EVENING THROUGH NOON SUNDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
AT 8 PM...SETTLEMENT POINT IN THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF THE BAHAMAS...REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KNOTS WITH A PEAK WIND GUST OF 97 KNOTS. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE AFFECTING THE PALM BEACH AND NORTHERN BROWARD COUNTY COASTAL WATERS
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHERN BROWARD TO THE MIAMI-DADE
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE...SUSTAINED WINDS WERE REPORTED
TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF FREQUENT GUSTS...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FROM LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES HAVE FALLEN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS TODAY. SIMILAR AMOUNTS OF RAIN WILL
LIKELY SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4
INCHES ON SUNDAY.  THIS WILL MEAN MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A FEW SPOTS NEARING ONE FOOT OF RAIN. THE AREA WITH THE
GREATEST THREAT OF SEEING THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE PALM BEACH COUNTY
AND AREAS AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. IF FEEDER BANDS SETS UP ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY.

THIS RAIN WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE FRESHWATER FLOODING AND A FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE RAINBANDS OF
JEANNE THIS EVENING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED HURRICANE JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL
BE ISSUED AROUND 10 PM TODAY.

$$

PS

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