[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 251917
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-252130-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
308 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...MAJOR HURRICANE JEANNE HEADING FOR EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...

...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE RIVER...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH TO
SUWANNEE RIVER...
...AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR
COUNTIES OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
CITRUS...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...
LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...
HIGHLANDS...POLK...SUMTER...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...
SARASOTA...MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS...PASCO...HERNANDO...
CITRUS...AND LEVY COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA
BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SARASOTA...MANATEE...
HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS...PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...AND LEVY
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE
RIVER OUT TO 60 NM.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER...POLK...
HIGHLANDS AND HARDEE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 3 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST
OF TAMPA. THIS IS ALSO 125 MILES OFFSHORE OF EAST SOUTHEAST OF VERO
BEACH. JEANNE IS MOVING A LITTLE NORTH OF DUE WEST AT 14 MPH...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
BEYOND THAT TIME FRAME A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH IS
EXPECTED.  HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA.

...CURRENT RADAR INFORMATION...
HEAVY RAINBANDS FROM JEANNE ARE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND
INLAND TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. SOME WEAKER SHOWERS ARE FILLING IN A NEW
OUTER BAND OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

...WIND IMPACTS...
HURRICANE JEANNE IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO JUST NORTHEAST OF LAKE
OKEECHOBEE LATE TONIGHT...THEN INTO NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN HIGHLANDS COUNTY BY
2 AM TONIGHT...WITH THE WINDS SPREADING NORTHWARD THROUGH POLK...
HARDEE...AND THEN INTO SUMTER COUNTY BY DAYBREAK. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTH ALONG THE GULF COAST
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT IN LEE COUNTY AND WILL REACH LEVY COUNTY BY
LATE MORNING. TIMING FOR THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS IN THE COASTAL
COUNTIES...POSSIBLY GUSTING TO HURRICANE FORCE...WILL BE AROUND
DAYBREAK FOR ENGLEWOOD TO TAMPA BAY...AND BY LATE MORNING NORTH OF
TAMPA BAY.

MOBILE HOMES IN THE DIRECT PATH OF THE STORM WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE
TO SEVERE DAMAGE. IN ADDITION...HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE AS WELL AS BLOWN
OUT WINDOWS. MOST LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL BE DAMAGED...SOME
DESTROYED. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL
BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES WILL
FALL...TRANSFORMERS WILL POP...AND SOME POWER POLES WILL BE PULLED
DOWN. ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUNDS. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP.

A MUCH LARGER AREA WILL BE EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH
GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. IN THESE AREAS...EXPECT SCATTERED LARGE
TREES TO FALL...LARGE DEBRIS BLOCKING ROADWAYS...AND KNOCKED DOWN
POWER LINES. ALSO...SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THERE IS
STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT WHICH AREA WILL BEAR THE BRUNT
OF THE WIND DAMAGE FROM JEANNE. BE PREPARED!

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AS JEANNE MOVES NORTH NORTHWESTWARD SUNDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME
ONSHORE AND BEGIN TO RAISE WATER LEVELS 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY...AND 1 TO 3 FEET ELSEWHERE.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF JEANNE WILL KEEP THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS OF
FLORIDA...INCLUDING HIGHLANDS...POLK AND SUMTER COUNTIES. THE
HEAVIEST AND MOST CONTINUOUS RAINS WILL BE FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES WHERE
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...
SOME PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE...AND SOME MAIN THOROUGHFARES MAY BE
CLOSED. SOME SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL. LARGER
RIVERS WILL RISE. SEVERAL AREA RIVERS ARE ALREADY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
RESIDENTS WHO LIVE NEAR RIVERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR MODERATE TO MAJOR
FLOODING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER THE GULF MAKING CONDITIONS
HAZARDOUS LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE
RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM.  AS JEANNE MOVES NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE PENINSULA...THAT PART OF THE STORM WILL AFFECT FLORIDA'S
EAST COAST AND THEREFORE THE TORNADO THREAT IS LESSENED FOR WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

...SHELTER AND ROAD STATUS...
PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SHELTER AND
ROAD STATUS

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA FORECAST
OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED BY 530 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

RJS
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