[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 250831
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.3N  80.3W      45  X  X  X 45   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
28.6N  81.9W      16 14  X  X 30   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7
30.4N  82.5W       1 17  5  1 24   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W    18  X  X  X 18   KEY WEST FL        1  2  1  X  4
MYGF 266N 787W    62  X  X  X 62   MARCO ISLAND FL   13  5  1  X 19
MARATHON FL        4  3  X  X  7   FT MYERS FL       16  7  X  X 23
MIAMI FL          26  X  1  X 27   VENICE FL          9 13  X  X 22
W PALM BEACH FL   43  X  X  X 43   TAMPA FL           9 16  1  X 26
FT PIERCE FL      45  X  X  X 45   CEDAR KEY FL       2 19  2  1 24
COCOA BEACH FL    40  X  X  X 40   ST MARKS FL        X  7 10  2 19
DAYTONA BEACH FL  21 11  X  X 32   APALACHICOLA FL    X  4  9  2 15
JACKSONVILLE FL    2 19  3  1 25   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  9  3 13
SAVANNAH GA        X  8 10  3 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  3  4  7
CHARLESTON SC      X  3  9  6 18   MOBILE AL          X  X  1  3  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  6  9 15   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2 11 13   GULF 29N 85W       X  5  8  1 14
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  9 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  3  3  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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