[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 24 16:13:57 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KJAX 242113
HLSJAX
FLZ024-025-031>033-036>038-040-GAZ153-154-165-166-250330-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
515 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FROM ST. AUGUSTINE SOUTHWARD...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BRADFORD...CLAY...
PUTNAM...ALACHUA AND MARION. IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN AND
GLYNN.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM ST AUGUSTINE SOUTHWARD...
...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE
FLORIDA TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND IN GEORGIA...
...AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CLAY AND PUTNAM
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...
BRADFORD...AND MARION COUNTIES...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.5 WEST OR ABOUT  225
MILES... 360 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND. THIS ALSO ABOUT 400
MILES... 645 KM...EAST OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER
OR NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED BY NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ALL EXPECTED IMPACTS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE ULTIMATE
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF JEANNE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD PUT YOUR FAMILYS HURRICANE
PLAN INTO EFFECT AND HEED THE ADVICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS. EVERYONE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REVIEW YOUR FAMILYS
HURRICANE PLAN AND HURRICANE KIT. MARINE INTERESTS IN NORMALLY FLOOD
PRONE AREAS MAY WISH TO SECURE PROPERTY WHICH COULD FLOOD. RESIDENTS
ALONG AREA RIVERS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AT THIS TIME...SIGNIFICANT TIDAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE THE
HEIGHT OF NORMAL TIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH VALUES OF 3 TO 5 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT DUE TO
PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS...TIDE LEVELS ON THE ST. JOHNS RIVER ARE
ALREADY ABOVE NORMAL. COMBINED WITH ALREADY HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES...IF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK MATERIALIZES...SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE ST. JOHNS RIVER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THE 25 TO 35 MPH BY LATE SATURDAY
WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS COULD INCREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN ALACHUA...MARION...AND BRADFORD COUNTIES AND
ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND NEAR HURRICANE FORCE IN CLAY AND PUTNAM
COUNTIES ON SUNDAY. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF JEANNE...THESE
CONDITIONS MAY WELL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING. ALONG THE COAST...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR HURRICANE
FORCE IN THE WARNING AREA DURING SUNDAY NIGHT.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT
RANGE TODAY AND GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY. HEAVY SURF AND
BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
HURRICANE JEANNE WILL POSE A THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT MOVES
NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. AREAS ALONG THE PATH COULD
SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES. SUCH RAINS WOULD POSE A
RENEWED THREAT OF FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

LETRO

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