[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 23 21:55:17 CDT 2004


WTNT44 KNHC 240255
TCDAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  72
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

RECON AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT CENTER OF IVAN MOVED INLAND JUST
TO THE WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA. WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 30 KNOTS.
BECAUSE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...ONLY A SMALL WESTWARD DRIFT IS
ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS COULD BE A RAIN
MAKER FOR THE REGION.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      24/0300Z 29.8N  93.5W    30 KT
 12HR VT     24/1200Z 30.5N  94.5W    25 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     25/0000Z 30.5N  95.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     25/1200Z 29.5N  96.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     26/0000Z 29.0N  97.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     27/0000Z...DISSIPATED


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