[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 23 21:47:23 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 240247
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.1N  74.5W      42  X  X  X 42   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
26.2N  77.0W       5 21  1  X 27   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
26.5N  79.0W       X 12  7  1 20   KEY WEST FL        X  X  5  4  9
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  2  3   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  9  5 14
MYSM 241N 745W    10  2  X  X 12   FT MYERS FL        X  X  8  6 14
MYEG 235N 758W     2  3  X  1  6   VENICE FL          X  X  6  8 14
MYAK 241N 776W     1  8  1  X 10   TAMPA FL           X  X  4 10 14
MYNN 251N 775W     1 16  1  1 19   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1 12 13
MYGF 266N 787W     X 15  5  1 21   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 10 10
MARATHON FL        X  1  7  2 10   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X 10 10
MIAMI FL           X  3 10  3 16   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  8  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X  4 11  3 18   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  6  6
FT PIERCE FL       X  2 12  4 18   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  4  4
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1 10  6 17   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  5 10 15   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1 12 13   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X 10 10
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  7  7   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


$$
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