[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 232041
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  43.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

44.7N  42.0W      27  2  X  X 29   54.0N  34.0W       X  2  8  3 13
49.2N  40.0W       2 14  2  X 18   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  4  1  X  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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