[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 230259
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 22 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SAT SEP 25 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

13.3N  42.4W      99  X  X  X 99   14.0N  44.2W      24  7  1  1 33
13.5N  43.2W      51  X  X  X 51

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA


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