[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 22 15:45:15 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 222044
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.9N  70.8W      74  X  X  X 74   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  8  9
26.1N  72.2W      37  4  X  X 41   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  8  8
26.5N  74.1W       1 19  2  1 23   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  2  2   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  2  2   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2  4  6   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  6  6   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  3  3   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  5  5   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  3  3  1  7   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  7  7
MYSM 241N 745W     X 10  5  1 16   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  7  7
MYEG 235N 758W     X  2  8  3 13   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  7  5 12   VENICE FL          X  X  X  6  6
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  9  5 14   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  5  5
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  4  8 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  9 10   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  9 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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