[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 22 09:27:29 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 221427
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.0N  69.8W      84  X  X  X 84   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  6  7
26.0N  70.9W      45  1  X  X 46   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
26.3N  72.3W      17  9  1  X 27   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  2  2   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  4  4
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  4  4
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  2  2   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1  4  5   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  5  5   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  2  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  1  2   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
MBJT 215N 712W     X  1  3  3  7   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W     X  2  5  4 11   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  3  7  5 15   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  5  6 11   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  7  8   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  2  7  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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