[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 220832
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 22 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT SEP 25 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.2N  43.2W      65  X  X  X 65   15.8N  45.0W      20 16  X  X 36
15.6N  44.3W      39  4  X  1 44

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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