[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 21 21:28:03 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 220227
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.5N  69.0W      99  X  X  X 99   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3
26.5N  69.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4
26.6N  70.5W      58  X  X  X 58   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  2  2   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  2  2   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  2  2   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  4  4   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  3  5  8   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  3  6  9   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  3  7 10   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  5  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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