[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 20 16:28:52 CDT 2004


ABNT20 KNHC 202128
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED HURRICANE JEANNE...LOCATED ABOUT 370 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST
OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...ON HURRICANE KARL...LOCATED
ABOUT 965 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND ON
TROPICAL STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 870 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...A PARTIAL REMNANT OF FORMER TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IVAN...IS LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF MIAMI
FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO
OCCUR...BUT CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE IN THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE.  THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN

$$
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