[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 201451
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 20 2004

...POWERFUL KARL NO THREAT TO LAND....

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1010
MILES...1620 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.   KARL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...BUT COULD RESTRENGTHEN TO A CATEGORY
FOUR HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...17.9 N... 46.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE


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