[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 201146
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM AST MON SEP 20 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  35.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU SEP 23 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.1N  38.2W      55  X  X  X 55   15.0N  41.5W       5 20  2  1 28
14.5N  39.7W      36  3  X  X 39

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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