[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 200234
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.0N  71.0W      41  1  X  X 42   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  2  4  6
27.3N  70.0W      13  7  3  1 24   MBJT 215N 712W     X  2  5  3 10
27.0N  69.0W       1  8  7  3 19   MYMM 224N 730W     X  1  3  3  7
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  2  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  2  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1  3  4   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2   PONCE PR           X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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