[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 190235
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.8N  72.5W      59  X  X  X 59   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
26.3N  72.2W      26 10  X  X 36   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  3  4
27.4N  71.8W       5 18  1  1 25   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W    40  X  X  X 40   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W    99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W    22  2  X  X 24   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     1  2  1  2  6   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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