[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 182013
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  40.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.6N  43.8W      48  X  X  X 48   19.5N  47.0W       2 21  2  1 26
18.4N  45.5W      25  8  X  1 34

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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