[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 18 03:35:32 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 180835
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.4N  73.4W      66  X  X  X 66   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  3  7 10
23.8N  73.7W      29  5  X  1 35   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
25.5N  73.7W       3 17  4  2 26   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  4  5
MTPP 186N 724W     1  X  X  1  2   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  5  5
MUGM 200N 751W    11  1  X  X 12   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  1  2   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3
MDPP 198N 707W     X  1  1  1  3   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W    37  X  X  X 37   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W    69  X  X  X 69   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W    18 11  1  X 30   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     7 13  1  1 22   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  3  5  3 11   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  3  7  3 13

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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