[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 16 21:32:39 CDT 2004


WTNT34 KNHC 170232
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER  59
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

...IVAN WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL A MAJOR CONCERN...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.2 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GADSDEN ALABAMA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF
IVAN ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWESTERN
GEORGIA OR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
AS IVAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN GEORGIA...
SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...34.3 N... 86.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON IVAN. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH...
BEGINNING AT 4 AM CDT...FRIDAY MORNING.


FORECASTER STEWART


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