[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 162058
HLSTLH

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-170000-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
457 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2004

...THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
...ALL OTHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING...TORNADO WATCH...AND FLOOD WATCH HAVE
ALL BE DISCONTINUED. THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THROUGH 7 PM CDT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 PM CDT (5 PM EDT)...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 25
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...OR 28.94 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANY SCHOOLS...BUSINESSES...STATE AND COUNTY AND LOCAL OFFICES
REMAIN CLOSED TODAY. TO DETERMINE IF AND WHEN EVACUATION ORDERS WILL
BE LIFTED...AND FOR SPECIFIC CLOSURE INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO
LOCAL TELEVISION AND RADIO STATIONS.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN CONTINUE TO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND SOUTHWEST
GEORGIA. THESE RAIN BANDS MAY SPREAD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
THE EASTERN BIG BEND THIS EVENING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR HAS
BEEN 6 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND. AMOUNTS QUICKLY DECREASE
FURTHER EAST WITH UNDER AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
AND PARTS OF THE EASTERN BIG BEND. NO MORE THAN AN INCH OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED IN THE REMAINING SPIRAL BANDS.

WIDESPREAD INLAND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. NUISANCE FLOODING
OR PONDING OF WATER REMAINS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS...
ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND NEAR CREEKS AND
STREAMS. HOWEVER...SHARP RISES WILL OCCUR ON SOME MAIN STEM RIVERS
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SOME RIVERS AND CREEKS IN SOUTHWEST
GEORGIA MAY APPROACH MINOR FLOOD LEVEL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN
THE HEADWATERS OF THE CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER FROM IVAN MAY CREATE
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE CHATTAHOOCHEE AND APALACHICOLA RIVERS NEXT
WEEK. THE FOLLOWING BASINS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY IVAN.

IN ALABAMA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE AND PEA RIVER BASINS.

IN FLORIDA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE...APALACHICOLA...CHIPOLA AND
OCHLOCKONEE RIVERS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...THE C TOWER 15 MILES SOUTH OF ST GEORGE ISLAND...AT 100
FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE...IS REPORTING WINDS OF 30 TO 32 KNOTS. THE
OFFSHORE GULF BUOYS ARE OBSERVING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 23 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 27 TO 29 KNOTS.

REPRESENTATIVE WINDS AT SOME INLAND AND COASTAL LOCATIONS AT 3 PM
CDT (4 PM EDT) FOLLOW.

DOTHAN...38 MPH...GUSTS 51 MPH.
OZARK...29 MPH...GUSTS 39 MPH.
TALLAHASSEE AIRPORT...24 MPH...GUSTS 37 MPH.
NWS TALLAHASSEE...20 MPH...GUSTS 28 MPH.
PERRY...21 MPH...GUSTS 30 MPH.
CROSS CITY...20 MPH...GUSTS 30 MPH.
BAINBRIDGE...23 MPH...GUSTS 33 MPH.
BLAKELY...22 MPH...GUSTS 40 MPH.
ALBANY...25 MPH...GUSTS 39 MPH.
MOULTRIE...15 MPH...GUSTS 37 MPH.
VALDOSTA...22 MPH...GUSTS 31 MPH.
CEDAR KEY...17 MPH...GUSTS 20 MPH.
KEATON BEACH...28 MPH...GUSTS 32 MPH.
SHELL POINT...29 MPH...GUSTS 33 MPH.

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS TROPICAL STORM IVAN CONTINUING TO WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS ALABAMA. IT WILL LIKELY
BECOME A DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY. PERIODS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO
40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL AFFECT MAINLY SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...BEFORE SUBSIDING
OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA DURING THIS TIME AS WELL IN ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN
SHOWERS.

...TORNADO THREAT...
MANY TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE REGION IN THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS OF IVAN SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE NUMBER OF TORNADIC
STORMS HAS DECREASED MARKEDLY OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS AND THIS
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. FOR THIS REASON...THE TORNADO WATCH
WAS CANCELLED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES HAVE BEEN RUNNING ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG MOST OF THE COAST...WITH 2 TO 3 FOOT DEPARTURES IN
THE APALACHEE BAY. COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ELEVATED AT
THESE DEPARTURES THROUGH THIS EVENING. SEAS AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS
ARE STILL RUNNING 11 TO 13 FEET. LARGE BREAKERS AND SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO POUND THE COASTLINE THROUGH THE DAY.

LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

EAST PASS NEAR DESTIN...
HIGH TIDE...1222 AM.

SAINT ANDREW BAY NEAR PANAMA CITY...
HIGH TIDE...1152 PM.
LOW TIDE...827 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
HIGH TIDE...608 PM AND 553 AM.
LOW TIDE...1156 PM.

SAINT GEORGE ISLAND AT SIKES CUT...
HIGH TIDE...510 PM AND 440 AM.
LOW TIDE...1034 PM.

OCHLOCKONEE BAY...
HIGH TIDE...441 PM AND 437 AM.
LOW TIDE...1024 PM.

SHELL POINT...
HIGH TIDE...405 PM AND 401 AM.
LOW TIDE...1002 PM.

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
HIGH TIDE...408 PM AND 404 AM.
LOW TIDE...1005 PM.

STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE (DEADMAN BAY)...
HIGH TIDE...407 PM AND 403 AM.
LOW TIDE...1029 PM.

SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE...
HIGH TIDE...356 PM AND 352 AM.
LOW TIDE...1018 PM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND BEACHES DUE TO INCREASED WAVE ACTION AND LARGE
SWELLS. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS
ON FRIDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE ON TROPICAL STORM IVAN.

$$

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