[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 161847
HLSTLH

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-162200-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
246 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2004

...IVAN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA TO DESTIN AND WEST TO THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA TO
DESTIN AND WEST TO THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. THE INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A TORNADO
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND
ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THESE SAME AREAS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 PM CDT (2 PM EDT)...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 45
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...OR 28.79 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANY SCHOOLS...BUSINESSES...STATE AND COUNTY AND LOCAL OFFICES
REMAIN CLOSED TODAY. FOR INFORMATION ON THE STATUS OF EVACUATION
ORDERS AND SPECIFIC CLOSURE INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO LOCAL
TELEVISION AND RADIO STATIONS.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF IVAN CONTINUE TO
AFFECT EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.
THESE RAIN BANDS MAY SPREAD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE
EASTERN BIG BEND LATER TODAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR HAS BEEN 6
TO 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND. AMOUNTS QUICKLY DECREASE FURTHER
EAST WITH UNDER AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
PARTS OF THE EASTERN BIG BEND. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE IN THE EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND PARTS OF
THE BIG BEND. WHILE WIDESPREAD INLAND FLOODING HAS NOT BEEN
REPORTED...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS...
ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND NEAR CREEKS AND
STREAMS. IN ADDITION...SHARP RISES WILL OCCUR ON MAIN STEM RIVERS.
SOME RIVERS AND CREEKS IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA MAY APPROACH MINOR FLOOD
LEVEL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE HEADWATERS OF THE
CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER FROM IVAN MAY CREATE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE
CHATTAHOOCHEE AND APALACHICOLA RIVERS NEXT WEEK. THE FOLLOWING
BASINS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY IVAN.

IN ALABAMA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE AND PEA RIVER BASINS.

IN FLORIDA...THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE...APALACHICOLA...CHIPOLA AND
OCHLOCKONEE RIVERS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...THE C TOWER 15 MILES SOUTH OF ST GEORGE ISLAND...AT 100
FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE...IS REPORTING WINDS OF 32 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
34 KNOTS. THE OFFSHORE GULF BUOYS ARE OBSERVING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 23
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 29 KNOTS.

REPRESENTATIVE WINDS AT SOME INLAND AND COASTAL LOCATIONS AT 1 PM
CDT (2 PM EDT) FOLLOW.

NWS TALLAHASSEE...24 MPH...GUSTS 33 MPH.
TALLAHASSEE AIRPORT...22 MPH...GUSTS 35 MPH.
PERRY...20 MPH...GUSTS 47 MPH.
DOTHAN...37 MPH...GUSTS 51 MPH.
BAINBRIDGE...23 MPH...GUSTS 36 MPH.
OZARK...24 MPH...GUSTS 39 MPH.
BLAKELY...14 MPH...GUSTS 30 MPH.
ALBANY...24 MPH...GUSTS 32 MPH.
MOULTRIE...20 MPH...GUSTS 29 MPH.
VALDOSTA...21 MPH...GUSTS 29 MPH.
CEDAR KEY...21 MPH...GUSTS 23 MPH.
KEATON BEACH...28 MPH...GUSTS 32 MPH.
SHELL POINT...24 MPH...GUSTS 31 MPH.

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS TROPICAL STORM IVAN CONTINUING TO WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS ALABAMA. ON THIS TRACK...
PERIODS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
50 MPH WILL AFFECT MAINLY SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. HOWEVER...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON IN ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS.

...TORNADO THREAT...
MANY TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE REGION IN THE OUTER RAIN

BANDS OF IVAN SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING. THIS REMAINS THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT
TO THE AREA AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE NUMBER OF TORNADIC STORMS
HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS AND THIS TREND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES HAVE BEEN RUNNING ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS MORNING ALONG
MOST OF THE COAST...WITH 3 TO 4 FOOT DEPARTURES IN THE APALACHEE
BAY. COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ELEVATED AT THESE
DEPARTURES THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. SEAS AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS ARE
STILL RUNNING 12 TO 14 FEET. LARGE BREAKERS AND SWELLS WILL CONTINUE
TO POUND THE COASTLINE THROUGH THE DAY.

LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

EAST PASS NEAR DESTIN...
HIGH TIDE...1222 AM.

SAINT ANDREW BAY NEAR PANAMA CITY...
HIGH TIDE...1152 PM.
LOW TIDE...827 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
HIGH TIDE...608 PM AND 553 AM.
LOW TIDE...1156 PM.

SAINT GEORGE ISLAND AT SIKES CUT...
HIGH TIDE...510 PM AND 440 AM.
LOW TIDE...1034 PM.

OCHLOCKONEE BAY...
HIGH TIDE...441 PM AND 437 AM.
LOW TIDE...1024 PM.

SHELL POINT...
HIGH TIDE...405 PM AND 401 AM.
LOW TIDE...1002 PM.

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
HIGH TIDE...408 PM AND 404 AM.
LOW TIDE...1005 PM.

STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE (DEADMAN BAY)...
HIGH TIDE...407 PM AND 403 AM.
LOW TIDE...1029 PM.

SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE...
HIGH TIDE...356 PM AND 352 AM.
LOW TIDE...1018 PM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND BEACHES DUE TO INCREASED WAVE ACTION AND LARGE
SWELLS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 5 PM CDT (6 PM EDT).

$$

18-WOOL
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