[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 13 18:11:43 CDT 2004


WWCA31 TJSJ 132311 CCA
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-140030-

BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTION
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
615 PM AST MON SEP 13 2004

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN DEVELOPS JUST EAST OF GUADELOUPE...

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO
RICO...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND FOR ALL THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD RAPIDLY MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS YOUR AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...STORM UPDATE...
AT 500 PM AST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE. THIS IS ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ST CROIX...350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS...370 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
VIEQUES AND 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT APPROACHES ST
CROIX ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SHOULD TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AS FORECAST...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WILL
BEGIN ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AROUND NOON ON TUESDAY.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH ACROSS VIEQUES AND
EAST PUERTO RICO TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SHOULD TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ELEVEN BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AS FORECAST...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN ACROSS VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND EAST PUERTO RICO BY LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...SPREADING ACROSS MOST OF PUERTO RICO TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SURF AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...EAST CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL LIKELY REACH 8 TO 9 FEET AS THE
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHICH IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL
STORM PASSES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT TONIGHT AND PLAN TO
REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER FRINGES OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER ELEVEN SHOULD BEGIN ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EAST PUERTO RICO LATE TONIGHT AND OVER MOST OF
PUERTO RICO ON TUESDAY. AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN
NEARS THE LOCAL AREA ON TUESDAY BOTH THE AREA COVERAGE AND THE
INTENSITY OF THE SHOWERS WILL INCREASE. ON ITS CURRENT FORECAST PATH
THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL PASS NEAR ST CROIX JUST AFTER
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NORTHEAST PUERTO RICO TUESDAY EVENING.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS PROBABLE. THE
THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND OR RIVER FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH AS
THE DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM MOVES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER ELEVEN CAN BE
FOUND IN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND
TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.

...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).

        HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM AST
BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO.

TIRADO




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