[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 13 10:28:04 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KEYW 131527
HLSEYW
FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-131830-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...HURRICANE IVAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1115 AM EDT MON SEP 13 2004

...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS HAS BEEN LIFTED...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS AND THE
DRY TORTUGAS...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED WIND IMPACTS.
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS HAVE LIFTED THE
MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDER FOR RESIDENTS OF THE KEYS. HOWEVER...ANY
PERSON RE-ENTERING THE KEYS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS A FEW RAINBANDS
WILL BRING STRONG...GUSTY WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. ALSO...AS FISHERMANS HOSPITAL IN MARATHON WILL OPEN
BEGINNING TUESDAY...AND LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY...FULL MEDICAL FACILITIES WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE BEFORE
THEN.  MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND MONROE COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE
CLOSED THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MONROE COUNTY INFORMATION HOT-LINE HAS
THE LATEST INFORMATION. THEY MAY BE REACHED AT 1...3 0 5...2 8 9...2
6 4 5 OR 1 800...9 5 5...5 5 0 4. THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
REMAINS CLOSED TO COMMERCIAL TRAFFIC AT THIS TIME. GREYHOUND BUS
LINES WILL RESUME SOUTHBOUND SERVICE FROM MIAMI THIS EVENING...AND
FULL SERVICE TUESDAY. FOR UPDATES AND DETAILS ON GREYHOUND BUS
SERVICE...CALL 1 800...2 3 1...2 2 2 2.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. THIS IS ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 160
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES IVAN AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IVAN
WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
WAS MEASURED AT 915 MB...OR 27.02 INCHES OF MERCURY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...AN OUTER RAINBAND FROM HURRICANE IVAN ARE SPREADING OVER
THE LOWER KEYS AND MIDDLE KEYS. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE.  OTHERWISE...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE KEYS.  SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE 25 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR BY THIS
EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER KEYS AND DRY TORTUGAS...WITH GUSTS
TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE IN OCCASIONAL SQUALLS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED IN THE KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE
OF HURRICANE IVAN. HOWEVER...HIGH TIDES IN THE LOWER KEYS COULD RUN
AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME
MINOR OVERWASH ONTO STREETS ALONG THE ATLANTIC-FACING COASTLINE AT
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...AND MAINLY IN THE LOWER KEYS.  THE NEXT
HIGH TIDE IN KEY WEST HARBOR WILL OCCUR AT 1031 PM THIS EVENING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY THAT HURRICANE IVAN WILL PASS WITHIN 75 MILES OF
KEY WEST IS FOUR PERCENT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO NINE TO TWELVE FEET OUTSIDE THE REEF
AND TWO TO FOUR FEET INSIDE THE REEF BY THIS EVENING. MARINERS
SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS UNTIL THE HURRICANE IVAN THREAT HAS PASSED.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT CONCERNING HURRICANE IVAN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
230 PM.

$$

DEVANAS






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