[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KEYW 130610
HLSEYW
FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-130930-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...HURRICANE IVAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
210 AM EDT MON SEP 13 2004

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS AND THE
DRY TORTUGAS...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. MONROE COUNTY OFFICES
WILL BE CLOSED THROUGH TUESDAY. COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS ARE STILL MAINTAINING A MANDATORY EVACUATION DUE TO THE
THREAT OF HURRICANE IVAN AND NOT RECOMMENDING RE-ENTRY INTO THE KEYS
UNTIL THE THREAT HAS DIMINISHED. MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS WILL
EVALUATE THE STATUS OF THE EVACUATION AT 5 AM THIS MORNING. THE
MONROE COUNTY INFORMATION HOT-LINE HAS THE LATEST INFORMATION. THEY
MAY BE REACHED AT 1...3 0 5...2 8 9...2 6 4 5 OR 1 800...9 5 5...5 5
0 4. THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REMAINS CLOSED TO COMMERCIAL
TRAFFIC AT THIS TIME. GREYHOUND BUS LINES SERVICE IS STILL
SUSPENDED. FOR UPDATES AND DETAILS ON GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE...CALL 1
800...2 3 1...2 2 2 2.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 160 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. THIS IS ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 160
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES IVAN AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IVAN
WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF
IVAN IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE WESTERN END OF CUBA THIS
EVENING. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 920 MB...OR 27.17
INCHES OF MERCURY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MILES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...WINDS OVER THE LOWER KEYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS ARE FROM
THE EAST 15 TO 20 MILES PER HOUR...GUSTING TO 25 MILES PER HOUR
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LOWER KEYS. BY MONDAY NIGHT WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS AND DRY TORTUGAS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED IN THE KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE
OF HURRICANE IVAN. HOWEVER...HIGH TIDES IN THE LOWER KEYS COULD RUN
ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE
IN KEY WEST HARBOR WILL OCCUR AT 949 AM THIS MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY THAT HURRICANE IVAN WILL PASS WITHIN 75 MILES OF
KEY WEST IS NINE PERCENT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO SEVEN TO TEN FEET OUTSIDE THE REEF AND
TWO TO FOUR FEET INSIDE THE REEF BY THIS EVENING. MARINERS SHOULD
MONITOR FORECASTS UNTIL THE HURRICANE IVAN THREAT HAS PASSED. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT CONCERNING HURRICANE IVAN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
530 AM.

$$

MR

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