[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 101443
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 10 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT MON SEP 13 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.3N  78.0W      47  X  X  X 47   MARATHON FL        X  X  7 11 18
19.2N  79.0W      28  4  1  X 33   MIAMI FL           X  X  3 12 15
20.5N  80.2W       1 20  5  1 27   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1 11 12
MTCA 183N 738W     3  X  X  X  3   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 10 10
MKJP 179N 768W    64  X  X  X 64   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  8  8
MKJS 185N 779W    47  X  X  X 47   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     1 14  5  2 22   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     6  2  X  X  8   KEY WEST FL        X  X  7 12 19
MUCM 214N 779W     1 16  3  1 21   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2 13 15
MUCF 221N 805W     X  7 15  2 24   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1 13 14
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1 14  5 20   VENICE FL          X  X  X 13 13
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X 12  8 20   TAMPA FL           X  X  X 10 10
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  2 10 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  7  7
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  4  4   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     X  1  2  2  5   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  4  4
MYAK 241N 776W     X  1  6  5 12   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  3  6  9   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  5  5
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  8  9   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


$$This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net