[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 7 10:29:39 CDT 2004


WTNT31 KWNH 071527
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 55 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 07 2004


...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES MOVING VERY SLOWLY THROUGH EASTERN
ALABAMA AND WESTERN GEORGIA...FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT FOR MUCH
OF THE SOUTHEAST...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...AND MID
ATLANTIC.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC STATES FROM FLORIDA...NORTHWARD INTO
GEORGIA...ALABAMA...TENNESSEE...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH
CAROLINA...WEST VIRGINIA...KENTUCKY...MARYLAND... AND VIRGINIA
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
WESTERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS
ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH ENCOMPASSING CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA...AND
NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

AT 11 AM EDT...15Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR 50
MILES TO THE EAST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 20 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 996 MB OR 29.41 INCHES.  FRANCES HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER...FRANCES IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN
A NORTHWARD DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT ALONG THE
ALABAMA / GEORGIA BOARDER AND THEN INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
ON WEDNESDAY. THE STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BE OVER THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC THURSDAY MORNING.

SELECTED 36 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THRU 8 AM EDT:

LOCATION                      STORM TOTAL

FLORIDA...

LAKE CITY                     9.30
OCALA                         6.49
GAINESVILLE                   5.89
JACKSONVILLE                  5.15
ST. PETERSBURG                3.72
SARASOTA                      3.58
TALLAHASSEE                   1.88
SANFORD                       1.36
MARIANA                       0.94

ALABAMA...

FORT BENNING                  3.37
MAXWELL AFB                   1.59
OZARK                         0.80
TROY                          0.62

GEORGIA...

ALMA                          5.74
FT. STEWART                   5.07
VALDOSTA                      5.02
MACON                         4.51
ATLANTA                       2.26
BRUNSWICK                     2.25
ATHENS                        2.22
SAVANNAH                      2.15
GAINSVILLE                    1.92
AUGUSTA                       1.03
ROME                          0.90


SOUTH CAROLINA...

COLUMBIA                      3.20
ORANGEBURG                    1.66
CHARLESTOWN                   1.60
GREENWOOD                     1.21
BEAUFORT                      1.21

NORTH CAROLINA...
NEW BERN                      3.48
BURLINGTON                    1.46
HATTERAS                      1.26
WILLIAMS                      1.17

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4-6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST IN THE WAKE OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...15Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST
OR 50 MILES TO THE EAST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA...THE STORM HAS
BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS...MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996 MB OR 29.41 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. REFER
TO STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.

ZIEGENFELDER/HALBACH

$$




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