[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 6 18:58:31 CDT 2004


WTNT34 KNHC 062358
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST MON SEP 06 2004

...IVAN MOVES QUICKLY WESTARD...REMAINS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...ST.
VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IVAN.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.3 WEST OR ABOUT  250 MILES...
400 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH ...39 KM/HR...AND IS
EXPECTED TO TAKE A GRADUAL TURN TO WARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE
WILL BE NEAR OR OVER SOME OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TUESDAY MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IVAN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO RESTRENGTHEN
TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...11.3 N... 56.3 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD
THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HENNON


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