[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KJAX 060908
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-061530-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
500 AM EDT MON SEP 6 2004

...FRANCES HEADS WEST WITH CONDITIONS SLOWLY IMPROVING TODAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BAKER...CLAY...
PUTNAM...MARION...HAMILTON...COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE...UNION...
BRADFORD...ALACHUA AND GILCHRIST. IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...
COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
INLAND COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT INCLUDING......
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BAKER...CLAY...PUTNAM...
MARION...HAMILTON...COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE...UNION...BRADFORD...ALACHUA
AND GILCHRIST IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...
BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...
JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...
...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...
...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BLACK CREEK IN CLAY
COUNTY...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...
SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FRANCES SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING
OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND FRANCES
COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN JUST BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS.

FRANCES REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER...ESPECIALLY
TO THE NORTHEAST. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH WITH A GUST TO 55 MPH
WAS REPORTED EARLIER THIS MORNING AT ST. AUGUSTINE.

THE CENTRAL CORE OF FRANCES IS MOVING WESTWARD INTO APALACHEE BAY AS
THE OUTER PORTION OF THE STORM HAS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE CONDITIONS OVER THE ENTIRE NORTH FLORIDA AREA AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY.

AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AREA THE RAINBANDS WILL BECOME ORIENTED MORE SOUTH TO NORTH
WITH LESS OF A WIND FLOW OFF THE OCEAN. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS ALONG
THE ATLANTIC COAST TO BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE.
ALTHOUGH SUSTAINED WINDS WILL DROP BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
GUSTS WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT OR ABOVE TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
GUSTY WINDS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTS. INTERESTS IN THE AREA ARE ADVISED TO
CONTINUE TO HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES. USE CAUTION IN STORM DAMAGED AREAS AND
ALWAYS TREAT DOWNED POWER-LINES AS IF THEY WERE LIVE. DO NOT USE
CANDLES IN POWER OUTAGE AREAS DUE TO THE HIGH RISK OF FIRE.
GENERATORS SHOULD BE WELL VENTILATED AND SHOULD NEVER BE RUN
INDOORS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES OF 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. AS WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY...THE TIDES WILL BEGIN TO
EASE. TIDAL FLOODING THIS MORNING WILL BE SIMILAR TO THAT EXPERIENCED
DURING A STRONG NORTHEASTER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
ALONG THE COAST...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE CONTINUE IN THE 30 TO 40
MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH THIS MORNING.  WINDS SHOULD BEGIN
TO SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...BUT GUSTS IN THE 40 MPH
RANGE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING.

FOR INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE IN THE 25
TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN HEAVIER RAINBANDS. WINDS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE TODAY.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COAST THROUGH THE REST
OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...CONTINUING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT BEACH
EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE NORTH FORK OF BLACK CREEK IS EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE FROM
MONDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH MINOR FLOODING
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AS FRANCES PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE TODAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER
INTERIOR NORTH FLORIDA WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST.

DOPPLER ESTIMATED RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA IS 3 TO 8 INCHES BETWEEN
U.S. HIGHWAY 301 AND THE ATLANTIC COAST AND 1 TO 3 INCHES WEST OF
U.S. HIGHWAY 301. THE HEAVIEST DOPPLER RAINFALL TOTALS ARE OVER
SOUTHERN ST. JOHNS COUNTY...NEAR FLAGLER ESTATES...WHERE AROUND 8
INCHES HAVE FALLEN.

RIVER STAGES COULD APPROACH FLOOD STAGE ON THE ST. MARYS RIVER...AND
THE SANTA FE RIVER..

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. A
TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA UNTIL 2 PM EDT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SANDRIK

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