[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KTAE 060320
HLSTLH

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-060700-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1044 PM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

...TROPICAL STORM FRANCES MOVING OFFSHORE TAMPA FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
INLAND WALTON...COASTAL WALTON...HOLMES...JACKSON...WASHINGTON...
CALHOUN...BAY...GULF...GADSDEN...LIBERTY...FRANKLIN...LEON...
WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...MADISON...TAYLOR...LAFAYETTE...AND DIXIE.

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...AND HOUSTON.

IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...
COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...
LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...
TERRELL...THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...AND WORTH.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO DESTIN...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND PANHANDLE...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FOR SOUTH GEORGIA AND
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND EAST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FRANCES WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST...OR 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TAMPA
FLORIDA. FRANCES IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST AND HEAD TOWARDS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE AREA MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...OR
28.82 INCHES. FRANCES MAY REGAIN CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE STRENGTH
BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL AGAIN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE TONIGHT AS RAIN BANDS SPREAD
WESTWARD OVER THE REGION. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE EAST OF THE
CHATTAHOOCHEE AND APALACHICOLA RIVERS INITIALLY...BUT WILL SPREAD
WESTWARD DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES AND POOR TRAVELING CONDITIONS.


...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY
NIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL CAUSE FLOODING IN MANY
AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND NEAR SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS. RESIDENTS NEAR SMALL EARTHEN DAMS SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RAPIDLY RISING WATER AND POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING IF THE DAM
BREAKS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS HEAVY
RAIN GREATLY REDUCES VISIBILITY AND CAUSES FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AREAS. MANY TROPICAL CYCLONE RELATED DEATHS HAVE COME FROM MOTORISTS
BEING SWEPT AWAY BY RAPIDLY RISING WATER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
OBSERVATIONS FROM THE NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AREA
INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
OCCURRING IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE MOVING INTO
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND WILL EVENTUALLY
SPREAD WESTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
AT 11 PM EDT THE WINDS AT THE APALACHICOLA BUOY...ABOUT 100 MILES
WEST OF THE TROPICAL STORM CENTER...WERE SUSTAINED AT 47 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 62 MPH OUT OF THE NORTH. SUSTAINED WINDS MAY APPROACH 75 MPH
ALONG THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER INLAND AREAS TONIGHT
THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY AS FRANCES MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES SLOWLY
INLAND. DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE
WINDS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE STORM SURGE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF APALACHEE BAY WILL
REACH 4 TO 6 FEET ON MONDAY...BUT MAY REACH 6 TO 8 FEET IN WAKULLA
COUNTY. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.

LOCAL TIDES OF INTEREST FOR MONDAY...

MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER...
LOW TIDE...1240 AM...HIGH TIDE...629 AM...
LOW TIDE...219 PM...HIGH TIDE...855 PM.

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
LOW TIDE...1218 AM...HIGH TIDE...606 AM...
LOW TIDE...238 PM...HIGH TIDE...936 PM.

APALACHICOLA...
LOW TIDE...137 AM...HIGH TIDE...751 AM...
LOW TIDE...506 PM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY FROM ST GEORGE ISLAND TO
DESTIN AS THE WAVE ACTION INCREASES.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS...PARTICULARLY OVER SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND
MONDAY MORNING. THIS THREAT WILL SPREAD INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AS FRANCES MOVES NORTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. TORNADOES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE CAN DEVELOP
SUDDENLY WITH LITTLE WARNING...ARE OFTEN DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO
REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY RAIN...AND MOVE VERY QUICKLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 3 AM EDT BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA.

$$

FOURNIER
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