[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KJAX 051020
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ150-154-162>166-051530-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WTAOHAR SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL

L6E0FA
 EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

0.
NW
TORNADO WATCH ISSUED INCLUDDNI CORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTSEII EHT FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN EO.T.ENST
FLORIDA...NASSAU...DSVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BAKER...CAAY...
PUTNAM...MARION...HAMILTON...COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE2..UNION...
BRADFORD...ALACHUA AND GILCHRIST. IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN...
CHARLTON...CLIOC....LCHOLS AND GLYNN.

 FL


A
CFA
 WARNINGS...
...A TROPI.A  RTPRM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFSCI  RFM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA...
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA
TO FLAGLER BEACL RLBRADA...
...AN INLAND .IN ACDL.ENSRM WIND WARNING REMAINS RNMEIFSCT FOR ALL
INLAND COUNTNE  OFNNORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...A NEW TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH 2 PM EDT. THIS WATCH INCLUDESITCEU
EFOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORSHOF OOIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...STV LO.NS...
FLAGLER...BAKER...CAAE....UTNAM...MARION...HAMILTON...COLUMBIA...
SUWANNEE...UNION...BRADFORD...ALACHUA AND GILCHRIST AND IN SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...EIHCL. .ND GLYNN...AS WELL AS
TLEAA
JCENT COASTAL WATERS...
R..A.F
OOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFE TNFERFALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

...STORM INFORMATION...
T 6 AM EDT....1000Z...THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE
FRANC
SWRS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 2T.T DO TH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST
. .EOT ABOUT 15 MILES EAST OF OAETCOO EE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 20 MILES
WEST OF STUART. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH OF MAYPORT
FLORIDA.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH. T8EMWESTERN PORTION
OF THE YFWTLE HAS ALREADY MOVED WELL IDLWNL  VER PORTIONS OF PALM
BEACM.
.BARTIN AND ST. LUCIE COUNTIES.  A CONTINUED WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THE ENTIRE EYE OF THE
HURRICANE INLAND BY SUNRISE TODAY. HOWEVER...IT MAY TAKE UP TO
ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS TO REACH SOME PORTIONS OF THE MARTIN AND ST. LUCIE
COUNTY COASTLINE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

OUTER RAINBANDS HAVE MOVED INTO THE NORTH FLORIDA AREA WITH SEVERAL
REPORTS OF DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE WARNING AREAS
SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. INTERESTS IN NORMALLY FLOOD
PRONE AREAS ARE URGED TO TAKE ACTIONS TO SECURE LIFE AND PROPERTY
PRIOR THE ONSET OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED TODAY. IN COMBINATION
WITH POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL...THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WIND STRENGTHS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDANT UPON HOW WELL FRANCES
MAINTAINS ITS CIRCULATION AS IT MOVES INLAND AND THE WIND SPEEDS
INDICATED BELOW MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED IF THE STORM MAINTAINS
BETTER ORGANIZATION.

SUSTAINED WINDS IN ALACHUA...BRADFORD...CLAY...GILCHRIST...MARION...
PUTNAM AND UNION COUNTIES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 40 TO 50 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE FELT
ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND OVER MARION COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE TO ABOVE TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OVER EASTERN MARION
COUNTY BY MID MORNING. AT 5 AM...WINDS AT LEESBURG WERE NEAR 30 MPH
AND THIS BAND WILL GRADUALLY WORK ITS WAY INTO THE OCALA NATIONAL
FOREST EARLY THIS MORNING.

SUSTAINED WINDS IN BAKER...COLUMBIA...HAMILTON AND SUWANNEE COUNTIES
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS BY
THIS EVENING.

ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF NASSAU AND DUVAL COUNTIES
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. FOR ST JOHNS A DOFNA LER COUNTY COASTAL AREAS LUATEISED
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPT  I0HMFREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MEHRA6E
EXPECTED.

ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES SUSTAINED
WINDS REACHING MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITHM
HOWCTSIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH WI0LMBH WOSSIBLE.

...SEAS ANDSRAP CNRRENTS...
BASED ON THE  UNRTNE FORECAST TRACK...WINDS OVER THE FLORIDA COASTAL
WATERS WILL INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE LONG PERIODGSPELL...SEAS WILL
INCREA  NORNSAR 20 FEET TODAY. SMALL C AMTLS OULD STAY IN PORT.
THE .E
RTIE COASTAL WATERS WILL SEE WINDS INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT PATH OF THE STORM...LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL
CONLI
UE TO AFFECT THE COAST THROAGT THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
LEDKYN
...CONTINUING A HIGH RISKIOH RIS CURRENTS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FRANCES POSES A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AS IT MOVES INLAND. DEPENDING UPON THE SPEED EFSMEVDMENT...SOME AREAS
ALONG
ADLJNST TO THE RIGHT OF THE PAFHTCEUPD SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OFO
N8STO 12 INCHES...WITH AMOUNTS TAPERING OFF FURTHER FROM THE TRACK.
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIR IF ERNOON AND SHOULD CONTINU  OHTONGH MONDAY.

BASED ON AHE  RNDICTED TRACK OF FRANCES TRRNUEH MONDAY...RAINFALL
TOTALS OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 2 TO 4
INCHES. HOWEVER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE CONSIDERABLY HIGHER IF
TRE S
ORM WERE TO MOVE CLOSER TO OHE  EGION.

...TORNADO IMRAATO.I.
POSSIBLE TORNADO TOUCADOWTSUHAVE OCCURRED IN NORTH FLORIDA.
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS
SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDIEI NO AND
LISTEN FOR LATER S AAEEE TS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THERE WILL BE AN EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A POSSIBILITY OF TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT OVER THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND. REMEMBER EVEN A WEAKENING
TROPICAL STORM CAN PRODUCE DAMAGING TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SANDRIK

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