[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KJAX 050929
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ154-166-051530-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
530 AM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

...OUTER RAINBANDS MOVING ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA WITH ISOLATED
TORNADOES POSSIBLE...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BAKER...CLAY...
PUTNAM...MARION...HAMILTON...COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE...UNION...
BRADFORD...ALACHUA AND GILCHRIST. IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN AND
GLYNN.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA...
...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA
TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
CLAY...MARION...PUTNAM...UNION...BRADFORD...ALACHUA...GILCHRIST...
BAKER...HAMILTON...COLUMBIA...AND SUWANNEE COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...
...A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BRADFORD...CLAY...DUVAL...
FLAGLER...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM AND ST. JOHNS AS WELL AS THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...
...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF
STUART. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH OF MAYPORT FLORIDA.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH. THE WESTERN PORTION
OF THE EYEWALL HAS ALREADY MOVED WELL INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF PALM
BEACH...MARTIN AND ST. LUCIE COUNTIES.  A CONTINUED WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THE ENTIRE EYE OF THE
HURRICANE INLAND BY SUNRISE TODAY. HOWEVER...IT MAY TAKE UP TO
ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS TO REACH SOME PORTIONS OF THE MARTIN AND ST. LUCIE
COUNTY COASTLINE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

OUTER RAINBANDS HAVE MOVED INTO THE NORTH FLORIDA AREA WITH SEVERAL
REPORTS OF DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE WARNING AREAS
SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. INTERESTS IN NORMALLY FLOOD
PRONE AREAS ARE URGED TO TAKE ACTIONS TO SECURE LIFE AND PROPERTY
PRIOR THE ONSET OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED TODAY. IN COMBINATION
WITH POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL...THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WIND STRENGTHS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDANT UPON HOW WELL FRANCES
MAINTAINS ITS CIRCULATION AS IT MOVES INLAND AND THE WIND SPEEDS
INDICATED BELOW MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED IF THE STORM MAINTAINS
BETTER ORGANIZATION.

SUSTAINED WINDS IN ALACHUA...BRADFORD...CLAY...GILCHRIST...MARION...
PUTNAM AND UNION COUNTIES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 40 TO 50 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE FELT
ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND OVER MARION COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE TO ABOVE TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OVER EASTERN MARION
COUNTY BY MID MORNING. AT 5 AM...WINDS AT LEESBURG WERE NEAR 30 MPH
AND THIS BAND WILL GRADUALLY WORK ITS WAY INTO THE OCALA NATIONAL
FOREST EARLY THIS MORNING.

SUSTAINED WINDS IN BAKER...COLUMBIA...HAMILTON AND SUWANNEE COUNTIES
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS BY
THIS EVENING.

ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF NASSAU AND DUVAL COUNTIES
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. FOR ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTY COASTAL AREAS SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED.

ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES SUSTAINED
WINDS REACHING MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS OVER THE FLORIDA COASTAL
WATERS WILL INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE LONG PERIOD SWELL...SEAS WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR 20 FEET TODAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.
THE GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS WILL SEE WINDS INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT PATH OF THE STORM...LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...CONTINUING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FRANCES POSES A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AS IT MOVES INLAND. DEPENDING UPON THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT...SOME AREAS
ALONG AND JUST TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH COULD SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH AMOUNTS TAPERING OFF FURTHER FROM THE TRACK.
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

BASED ON THE PREDICTED TRACK OF FRANCES THROUGH MONDAY...RAINFALL
TOTALS OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 2 TO 4
INCHES. HOWEVER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE CONSIDERABLY HIGHER IF
THE STORM WERE TO MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
POSSIBLE TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS HAVE OCCURRED IN NORTH FLORIDA.
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS
SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND
LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THERE WILL BE AN EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A POSSIBILITY OF TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT OVER THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND. REMEMBER EVEN A WEAKENING
TROPICAL STORM CAN PRODUCE DAMAGING TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SANDRIK

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