[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMLB 041820
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
042020-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
220 PM EDT SAT SEP 4 2004

...STRONG OUTER RAINBANDS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH POUNDING
COASTAL INDIAN RIVER ST. LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES...

...FRANCES NEAR STATIONARY OVER WEST END BAHAMAS EAST OF PALM
BEACH...

...FLOOD WARNING FOR INDIAN RIVER...MARTIN...ST. LUCIE COUNTIES...

...HURRICANE WARNING FROM SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FLORIDA CITY
WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FRANCES IS NEARLY STATIONARY AT 70 MILES EAST OF PALM
BEACH. THE LACK OF MOVEMENT WILL INCREASE THE WIND AND RAIN DAMAGE
THREAT TO THE AREA BETWEEN PALM BEACH AND VERO BEACH.  PRECISTANT
WINDS GUSTS FROM 80 TO 100 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON THE COAST.

AT 125 PM...MELBOURNE WEATHER RADAR INDICATED AN INTENSIFYING SPIRAL
RAINBAND ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE FRANCES OVER THE ATLANTIC 60
MILES EAST OF MELBOURNE TO JUST OFFSHORE SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN
COUNTIES. THE RAINBAND WILL PRODUCE SQUALLS WITH WIND GUSTS OF 80
MPH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES...
WITH 60 TO 80 MPH GUSTS LIKELY JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST THROUGH
230 PM. AN EVEN STRONGER RAINBAND WAS FORMING 25 TO 30 MILES
OFFSHORE MARTIN COUNTY AND WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS NEAR 100 MPH
TOWARD MID AFTERNOON ACROSS COASTAL MARTIN COUNTY. MOVE TO A SECURE
LOCATION IN THE CENTER OF YOUR HOME PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE
DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS.

ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY FROM CAPE CANAVERAL SOUTH AND OVER COASTAL
INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE
WITH STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN. STRONGER WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THESE AREAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

AT 2 PM WPTV IN PALM BEACH REPORTED THE ROOF COMING OFF A HOTEL...A
COMMERCIAL SHOPPING PLAZA BUILDING DESTROYED AND PART OF A CAR
DEALERSHIP BUILDING DESTROYED IN STUART.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE MODELS USING THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST INDICATE
THAT FRANCES WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL DURING THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT BETWEEN JUPITER INLET AND CAPE
CANAVERAL. THIS WOULD PRODUCE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES OF SEVEN OR
EIGHT FEET NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL...MOST LIKELY BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES. NORTH OF
CAPE CANAVERAL...A SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET IS LIKELY. BATTERING WAVES OF
VERY LONG DURATION WILL BE OF GREAT CONCERN ALONG THE BEACHES.
SIGNIFICANT WIND AND WAVE DAMAGE IS LIKELY IN THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INDIAN RIVER...ST LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH TONIGHT.   A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES THROUGH SUNDAY.

A RADAR ESTIMATES BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
OVER THE WARNING AREA SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. CONTINUOUS RAINFALL
RATES OF BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 6 HOURS...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
TOTALS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...SO AN EXTENDED
PERIOD OF FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WARNING IS LIKELY TO BE
EXTENDED.


...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...
EAST OF PALM BEACH FLORIDA.

FRANCES HAS BARELY MOVED DURING THE PAST HOUR.  HOWEVER THE HURRICANE
IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR TODAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE
OF HURRICANE FRANCES WILL BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST BY
LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS WILL BE A LONG DURATION WIND AND RAIN EVENT. DO NOT GET CAUGHT
TRYING TO DO THINGS OUTDOORS IN BETWEEN RAINBANDS...STAY PUT IN
SHELTER.  AS FRANCES MAKES LANDFALL THIS EVENING PEOPLE IN
AND CLOSE TO THE CORE OF MAXIMUM WINDS SHOULD TAKE SHELTER IN A SMALL
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR SUCH AS A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. PUT AS MANY
WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE HURRICANE WINDS AS POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. KEEP A BATTERY OPERATED NOAA WEATHER RADIO WITH YOU OR AM FM
RADIO TO RECEIVE UPDATES AND WARNINGS. TORNADO WARNINGS WILL BE
ISSUED IF A HIGH THREAT OF TORNADOES OR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH
HURRICANE RAINBANDS ARE FORECAST USING DOPPLER RADAR.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS...INTERSECTIONS
...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AS WELL AS FLOODING OF RURAL
ROADS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTH TO
FLORIDA CITY...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
COASTAL COUNTIES...AND ALSO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AN INLAND HURRICANE
WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...ORANGE...LAKE
...INLAND VOLUSIA AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER OUTER
RAINBANDS AND THE THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE INNER RAINBANDS OF
FRANCES MOVE IN LATER TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 4 PM
OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

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