[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 040225
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 03 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE  9.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  35.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON SEP  6 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

 9.4N  41.0W      47  X  X  X 47   TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  2  2
10.2N  44.0W       6 28  X  1 35   TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  2  2
11.0N  47.0W       X 13 12  1 26   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  2  2
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  X  4  4   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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