[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 110832
SPFAT5
SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU OCT 14 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

41.5N  63.5W      21  X  X  X 21   MONCTON NB         2  X  X  X  2
BERMUDA            4  X  X  X  4   YARMOUTH NS        8  X  X  X  8
BAR HARBOR ME      2  X  X  X  2   HALIFAX NS         6  X  X  X  6
EASTPORT ME        4  X  X  X  4   SABLE ISLAND NS    2  X  X  X  2
ST JOHN NB         4  X  X  X  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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