[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 101037
HLSMOB
ALZ061>064-101330-

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
537 AM CDT SUN OCT 10 2004

...TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND LATER THIS
MORNING...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.1 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA

MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH AND A MOSTLY
NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS OR RECOMMENDATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND TIDAL IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL
IMPACT THE WARNING AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...AROUND THE TIME OF
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE. WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT A
FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS. DAUPHIN ISLAND WILL LIKELY HAVE GULF
WATER BREACHING PORTIONS OF THE WEST END AND INTO THE SOUND. THESE
ARE AREAS WHERE THE BEACHES RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL EROSION FROM
HURRICANE IVAN. WATER WILL BE TRAPPED ON BIENVILLE BOULEVARD AS THE
WATER LEVELS RECEDE SUNDAY. BALDWIN COUNTY BEACHES WILL SEE STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS. THIS WILL
SEND WATER UP UNDER MANY OF THE GULF FACING BEACH PROPERTIES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
OVERALL...THE WIND IMPACT WILL BE LOW.  SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST OF 25 TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH OCCASIONAL
HIGHER GUSTS.  WIND SPEEDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL MAINLY BE
EXPERIENCED WEST OF GULF SHORES ALABAMA AND SHOULD BE LIMITED TO NO
MORE THAN ABOUT 3 HOURS THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  SOME
ADDITIONAL MINOR WIND DAMAGE COULD OCCUR TO PREVIOUSLY DAMAGED
STRUCTURES AND ROOF TARPS MAY BE BLOWN OFF.

...RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
ONCE MATTHEW'S CENTER MOVES ASHORE OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...EXPECT
THE PRECIPITATION AREA TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE.  THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST OF MATTHEW'S CENTER AND WILL LIKELY EXTEND
INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.  A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE
AND BALDWIN COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA.

.TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.  SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY CONTAIN TORNADOES.  THE TORNADO THREAT WILL FIRST INCREASE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE MORNING AND THEN ALONG THE COASTAL
COUNTIES OF BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL MOVE FROM
THE SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
MATTHEW.  STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER INLAND AREAS COULD ALSO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 AM
CDT THIS MORNING.

MEDLIN

$$

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