[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 100814 CCB
HLSMOB
ALZ061>064-101030-

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED EXPIRATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
315 AM CDT SUN OCT 10 2004

...TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW MOVING NORTHWARD AGAIN BUT REMAINS POORLY
ORGANIZED...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...OR ABOUT 230
MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA.

MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  AN ERRATIC
BUT GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...AND THE CENTER OF MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE
COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER THIS MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MATTHEW
IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS OR RECOMMENDATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL
IMPACT THE WARNING AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...AROUND THE TIME OF
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE. WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT A
FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS. DAUPHIN ISLAND WILL LIKELY HAVE GULF
WATER ENCROACHING OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST END AND INTO THE SOUND.
THESE ARE AREAS WHERE THE BEACHES SUSTAINED SUBSTANTIAL EROSION FROM
HURRICANE IVAN. WATER WILL BE TRAPPED ON BIENVILLE BOULEVARD AS THE
WATER LEVELS RECEDE SUNDAY. BALDWIN COUNTY BEACHES WILL SEE STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS. THIS WILL
SEND WATER UP UNDER MANY OF THE GULF FACING BEACH PROPERTIES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
OVERALL...THE WIND IMPACT WILL BE LOW.  SUSTAINED WINDS ON THE
IMMEDIATE COAST OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL OCCUR FROM
JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE UNTIL MID AFTERNOON AS MATTHEW PASSES TO OUR
WEST.  WINDS OF THESE SPEEDS MAY CAUSE SOME ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO
PREVIOUSLY DAMAGED STRUCTURES.

...RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
ONCE MATTHEW'S CENTER MOVES ASHORE OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...EXPECT
THE PRECIPITATION AREA TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE.  THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST OF MATTHEW'S CENTER AND WILL LIKELY EXTEND
INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.  A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE
AND BALDWIN COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA.

.TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM
MATTHEW MAKES LANDFALL.  INDIVIDUAL STORMS WHICH MAY CONTAIN
TORNADOES WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST.  ALTHOUGH
TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS MAY MOVE INLAND FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
LATER TODAY...STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER INLAND AREAS COULD ALSO
PRODUCE TORNADOES.  THE TORNADO THREAT WILL FIRST INCREASE OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE MORNING AND THEN ALONG THE COASTAL
COUNTIES OF BOTH ALABAMA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM
CDT TODAY.

MEDLIN

$$
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