[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 10 01:27:34 CDT 2004


WTUS84 KLCH 100627
HLSLCH
LAZ052>055-101000-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
126 AM CDT SUN OCT 10 2004

...TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
COAST...

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER.

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
INCLUDING VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN
PARISHES...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY AND LOWER
SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VERMILION...IBERIA AND
SAINT MARY PARISHES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
28.1 NORTH...91.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA. THIS LOCATION IS ALSO 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF INTRACOASTAL
CITY LOUISIANA.

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR
9 MPH. MATTHEW COULD CONTINUE TO MAKE SOME PERIODIC JOGS TO THE
EAST...BUT A MAINLY NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. ON THIS MOTION...THE CENTER OF THE
STORM WILL REACH THE LOUISIANA COAST EAST OF MORGAN CITY AFTER
SUNRISE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE MAINLY NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME COASTAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ON
THE WEST SIDE OF VERMILION BAY...MAINLY IN THE INTRACOASTAL CITY
AREA...AS EAST AND NORTHEAST FLOW AROUND THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING OVER THE REGION. THE MAIN TIME FOR THE OCCURRENCE OF
COASTAL FLOODING IS DURING HIGH TIDE...TIDE TIMES FOR THE REGION ARE
AS FOLLOWS:

AT VERMILION BAY:
ON SUNDAY...A HIGH TIDE OF 1.9 FEET IS EXPECTED AT 303 AM. A LOW
TIDE OF 1.6 FEET IS EXPECTED AT 850 AM.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
NO TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH THIS SYSTEM.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISHES. AN
INCH OR MORE OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.

...WIND IMPACTS...
EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT HOURS ACROSS THE
LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER BASIN AND AROUND VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA
BAYS. A FEW GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARD SUNRISE AS MATTHEW NEARS THE
COAST.

...RIVERS...
MINOR BACKWATER TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY ALONG
THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON MATTHEW WILL BE ISSUED BY 430 AM CDT
TODAY.

$$

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